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The statistical
edge you're
missing.

Quantitative models that detect picks with real positive expected value. No intuition, no promises — just verifiable mathematics.

● VERIFIED TRACK RECORD Every pick published before the event · no edits · beta · 2026 View history →
847+
Markets / day
+3.1%
Avg CLV
58%
Hit rate
Active picks · today
⚽ UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid vs Bayern München
Over 2.5 Goals
EV +4.2%
Odds
2.05
Kelly Stake
2.3% BK
🏀 NBA · Lakers @ Celtics
Total Points Under 218.5
Totals
EV +6.8%
Odds
1.87
Kelly Stake
3.1% BK
Sports covered
Soccer · NBA · MLB · ATP/WTA · MMA · NHL
Real Madrid – Bayern Over 2.5 @2.05 WON
Djokovic −1.5 Sets @2.10 WON
Avg CLV +3.1%
Phillies ML @2.20 LOST
Inter vs Barça Over 2.5 @1.95 WON
Hit rate 58%
Man City BTTS @1.72 WON
Public track record beta · 2026
Real Madrid – Bayern Over 2.5 @2.05 WON
Djokovic −1.5 Sets @2.10 WON
Avg CLV +3.1%
Phillies ML @2.20 LOST
Inter vs Barça Over 2.5 @1.95 WON
Hit rate 58%
Man City BTTS @1.72 WON
Public track record beta · 2026
§ 01

The market is designed
for you to lose.

The house always wins — unless you have a mathematical model that beats the odds.

01
Hidden margin in odds

Every odds line already has the bookmaker's margin built in. Without your own model, betting is systematically and mathematically losing money.

02
Tipsters without evidence

95% of services have no verified track record, don't publish before the event, or simply reset when the numbers don't work in their favor.

03
Zero bankroll management

Without Kelly Criterion or mathematical sizing, even the best picks turn into losses through overbetting during variance swings.

§ 02

Quantitative
end to end.

Four steps. No subjective human intervention.

01
Probability modeling

Models calibrate real probabilities using historical data, recent form, injuries and contextual variables for each market.

P(event) → calibrated model
02
Expected value detection

Model probability is compared against market odds. If P × odds > 1, positive expected value exists — that's the edge.

EV = (P × odds) − 1 > 0
03
Minimum quality filter

Only picks with EV ≥ 3% and sufficient liquidity are published. Days without picks mean no real edge was available.

EV ≥ 3% → publish
04
Fractional Kelly sizing

Every pick includes a stake recommendation calculated with fractional Kelly (25–50%) to maximize growth and control variance.

f* = (b·p − q) / b × 0.35
§ 03

The panel your
subscribers actually use.

The subscriber dashboard goes well beyond receiving a pick on Telegram.

01
Kelly calculator with your own bankroll

Set your bankroll once and every pick shows the exact amount in euros to stake. Automatic warning if total daily exposure exceeds 10% of bankroll.

02
Score radar by component

Every pick includes a radar chart with the 6 model factors: edge, EV, market, sport, timing and history. See exactly what drives each decision.

03
Personal performance tracker

Mark the picks you followed and the system calculates your personal P&L, win rate and comparison against the system's overall performance. Stored locally — no data on servers.

04
Automatic updates

The dashboard checks for new picks every 60 seconds. A notification appears when new signals are available — no page reload needed.

§ 04

Start
for free.

The public Telegram channel includes value analysis, model summaries and selected picks at no cost.

Free channel includes
Weekly value analysis
Selected picks (partial)
Monthly results summary
Join free channel →
Q
QBS · Public Channel
2,400 subscribers
⚽ UCL · Real Madrid vs Bayern Over 2.5 Goals — odds 2.05
EV +4.2% · Stake 2% BK
Result 3–2 FT · WON ✓
🏀 NBA · Lakers @ Celtics Under 218.5 — odds 1.87
EV +6.8% · Stake 3% BK
§ 05

Not just another
tipster.

Feature Typical tipsters Quant Bet Signals
Verified track recordRarelyAlways public
Picks published pre-eventSometimesMandatory
Own quantitative modelIntuition100% quantitative
Kelly Criterion includedNo managementEvery pick
CLV trackingNoT−2/3 min by sport
No history resetsFrequentGuaranteed
Full analytics dashboardNoScore radar, Kelly calculator, personal tracker
§ 06

Simple.
No contracts.

A monthly subscription. Cancel anytime. Choose your platform.

Beta pricing · €19.99 locked forever for early subscribers · available until August 1st

● Beta phase — 2026

We're in our first months. The track record is new and the model will keep improving as data accumulates — the price reflects that.

Beta subscribers keep €19.99 for life — price increases on August 1st.

Premium Membership · Patreon
19.99
per month · no contract
⭐ Beta price — locked for life for early subscribers. Price will increase when the system exits beta.

  • Private Telegram channel with real-time EV+ picks
  • Premium dashboard: score radar, Kelly calculator with your bankroll and personal performance tracker
  • Exact euro amount per pick based on your configured bankroll
  • Picks also by email, in addition to Telegram
  • Detailed monthly performance reports
  • Immediate cancellation, no penalties
Access on Patreon →

Managed by Patreon · Secure payment · Immediate access

Premium Membership · Whop
19.99
per month · no contract
⭐ Beta price — locked for life for early subscribers. Price will increase when the system exits beta.

  • Private Telegram channel with real-time EV+ picks
  • Premium dashboard: score radar, Kelly calculator with your bankroll and personal performance tracker
  • Exact euro amount per pick based on your configured bankroll
  • Picks also by email, in addition to Telegram
  • Detailed monthly performance reports
  • Immediate cancellation, no penalties
Access on Whop →

Managed by Whop · Secure payment · Immediate access

§ 07

Everything you need to know.

If your question isn't here, find us on Telegram.

Free channel →
Once subscribed through Patreon, you'll get access to the private Telegram channel with real-time EV+ picks. You'll also receive each pick by email. Picks are always published before the event starts.
Not required, but helpful to understand the basics: decimal odds, profit calculation, and what a bankroll percentage stake means. Every pick comes with full analysis and sizing included.
It varies by day. The system publishes everything that generates sufficient edge — with no artificial cap. When no opportunities pass the quantitative filters, nothing is published. Days without picks are not an error — they're part of operating with quantitative discipline.
Yes, completely. The membership is monthly and managed through your Patreon account. When you cancel, access remains active until the end of the paid period — no penalties.
CLV (Closing Line Value) measures whether the odds you got were better than the final market odds. It's the most robust indicator of real edge, regardless of short-term results. The system records CLV at a variable window depending on the sport: football and tennis at T−3min, all others at T−2min.
Soccer (major European leagues), NBA, baseball (MLB), tennis (ATP/WTA), MMA (UFC/Bellator) and ice hockey (NHL). Focus is on high-liquidity markets where quantitative models have greater statistical advantage against the odds.
Quant Bet Signals
Stop betting on gut feeling.

Start operating with real mathematical edge. Cancel anytime.

⚠ Risk warning

Sports betting involves real risk of capital loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Quant Bet Signals is a quantitative analysis service, not a guarantee of profits. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Verify legality in your jurisdiction before participating.